Nutritious-Barium
0xaf68f19b5deceb2188ddc0e3ac225907923ae9a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$2.0K
Realised
$2.4K
Win rate
48%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
45886 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$894.77
$-362.45
- YES
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
959 shares @ 50.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$484.17
$-1.77
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
50130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$325.84
$-51.33
- YES
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
1499 shares @ 19.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$247.28
$-43.75
- YES
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
14929 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$97.04
$2.49
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
3838 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$86.35
$21.74
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
600 shares @ 0.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$74.95
$70.27
- NO
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
199 shares @ 14.6¢·now 20.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$39.80
$10.70
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
320 shares @ 14.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$33.62
$-14.13
- NO
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
50 shares @ 51.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$33.25
$7.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$21.17Jun 14, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.56Jun 14, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.70Jun 14, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?$50.00Jun 14, 06:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$10.20Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.05Jun 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$51.17Jun 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.01Jun 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.53Jun 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?$0.13Jun 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.06Jun 13, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.45Jun 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.26Jun 13, 10:50 UTC
- CONVERSIONNext French Presidential Election$99.61Jun 13, 10:49 UTC
- MERGEWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$100.39Jun 13, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$146.00Jun 13, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.86Jun 13, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.73Jun 13, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.02Jun 13, 07:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $14.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.