Assured-Porcelain
0xaf72e342c8bf7f49020fb39b79c7fec9b318b38d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Over 20M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
78 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.83
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
31 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 16% and 19% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 13% and 16% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fat shot" or "Ozempic" during the America Business Forum on November 5?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the America Business Forum on November 5?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$1.00Nov 22, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 18 2025?$1.82Nov 22, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$3.83Nov 22, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during Saudi PM events on November 18?$2.53Nov 19, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 18 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 18 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 18 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during Saudi PM events on November 18?$2.00Nov 18, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?$2.00Nov 10, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?$2.00Nov 10, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?$2.00Nov 10, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?$2.00Nov 10, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?$2.00Nov 10, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?$5.00Nov 10, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$0.09Nov 10, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$4.00Nov 7, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "AI" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$4.17Nov 7, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "President Xi" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$5.71Nov 7, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Asia" or "Asian" 8+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$7.02Nov 7, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the America Business Forum on November 5?$0.00Nov 5, 23:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 22, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".