Terrific-Replacement
0xaf75654d853f22aeedf687689de240bb2e667623
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.78
Total PnL
$-13.8K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
98%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
197 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.57
$-0.59
- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
140 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-4.83
- NO
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
13988 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
4326 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2238 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-562.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
1527 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-357.09
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?
1439 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1270 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1255 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-585.01
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1214 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
98% win rate over 43 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
43 closed markets, 98% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.