Querulous-Pomegranate
0xaf76b8ef0203e08fc5f7a376ce4f8e3d560cc9ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$15.53
Total PnL
$-7.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.41
$0.00
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.22
$0.01
- NO
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.88
$0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.77
$0.01
- NO
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.74
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$1.72
$0.01
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.28
$0.00
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$2.00Jul 17, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?$1.82Jul 11, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.81Jul 10, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?$1.82Jul 10, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.81Jul 10, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$1.99Jul 5, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?$1.34Jul 3, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$1.29Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.64Jun 30, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$1.29Jun 28, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?$1.34Jun 28, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$1.58Jun 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.64Jun 14, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$1.57Jun 14, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Svitle by May 31?$2.41May 31, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.73May 9, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.27Apr 30, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by April 30?$1.28Apr 29, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$1.86Apr 29, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?$1.72Apr 14, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.