0xaf78dabd515dc8a56ea8e82e369ff6fbba5765f0
0xaf78dabd515dc8a56ea8e82e369ff6fbba5765f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$11.30
Total PnL
$-89.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
11 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$11.30
$8.36
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
235 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.65
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
140 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-63.05
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
35 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.33
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
20 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.81
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
6 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$0.94Feb 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$1.98Feb 24, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$0.98Feb 24, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$0.43Feb 24, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$1.45Feb 24, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$2.41Feb 24, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$0.72Feb 24, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$0.52Feb 24, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$0.39Feb 24, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$2.05Feb 24, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$8.60Feb 24, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$9.02Feb 24, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$1.93Feb 24, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$4.81Feb 23, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$4.21Feb 23, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$2.04Feb 23, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$2.06Feb 23, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$0.23Feb 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$0.11Feb 23, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$1.34Feb 23, 18:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 23:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.