Feisty-Consensus
0xaf8452930f7f818e49936efd2f5738e7136bb3ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$391.46
Total PnL
$-35.50
Realised
$-3.30
Win rate
37%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
198 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$198.00
$4.21
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
69 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$69.00
$35.19
- YES
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
40 shares @ 78.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$40.00
$8.68
- YES
Will Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?
24 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$24.00
$5.04
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
14 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$14.00
$7.14
- NO
Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
13 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.00
$1.31
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.90
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.00
$2.55
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
6 shares @ 63.0¢·now 68.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.12
$0.34
- NO
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$4.00
$1.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$6.64Jan 16, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$21.52Jan 16, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$2.15Jan 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$3.87Jan 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?$6.80Jan 16, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?$9.35Jan 16, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?$28.90Jan 16, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$18.48Jan 16, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$10.35Jan 16, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$1.28Jan 16, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$39.01Jan 16, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$7.65Jan 16, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?$45.58Jan 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$3.87Jan 16, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$2.15Jan 16, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$24.90Jan 15, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Shah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.69Jan 15, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$3.06Jan 15, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$6.08Jan 15, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$4.10Jan 15, 23:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".