0xaf8a76fd91471f28cc0bf850d5fcf6e93a1418f5
0xaf8a76fd91471f28cc0bf850d5fcf6e93a1418f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$11.10
Total PnL
$-17.90
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
69 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.97
$-1.03
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 6?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 6?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
806 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
6 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 13, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$5.00Mar 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$5.00Mar 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$11.00Mar 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$6.00Mar 25, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro in U.S. custody by January 31?$1.00Jan 6, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 6?$3.00Jan 6, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 6?$3.00Jan 6, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro in U.S. custody by January 31?$3.00Jan 6, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 00:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".