New-Mutton
0xaf8be4437d72474e1cf435e44540f08eed6e0c59
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$76.79
Total PnL
$5.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$58.82
$8.82
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$6.85
$1.85
- NO
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.38
$1.38
- YES
TikTok sale announced by March 31?
2 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- SEAHAWKS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO CHANGE
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Thunder
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$1.00Feb 1, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 1, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced by March 31?$2.00Dec 21, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?$1.00Nov 22, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Thunder$1.00Nov 2, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?$5.00Oct 29, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$50.00Oct 22, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.00Oct 18, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?$1.00Oct 9, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel not announce ceasefire in October?$1.00Oct 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$1.00Oct 4, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 2, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$5.00Oct 1, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $5.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.