Whirlwind-Pigsty
0xaf8d1bc84d02bf16b70b7be4cb59a8b179cabe34
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-564.08
Realised
$5.12
Win rate
15%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- BNK FEARX YOUTH
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
400 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 17?
380 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-49.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 14?
245 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-31.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
140 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-41.99
- LINDA FRUHVIRTOVA
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtova
130 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-97.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 28?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 25?
99 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 23?
96 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-31.80
- ATHLETICS
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics
86 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 9?$6.23Aug 9, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 9?$1.71Aug 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 9?$0.31Aug 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 9?$7.79Aug 9, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.29Aug 3, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$3.50Aug 3, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$2.04Aug 3, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.00Aug 3, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$6.00Aug 3, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.40Aug 3, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtova$90.02Aug 3, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtova$3.75Aug 3, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtova$0.46Aug 3, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtova$3.27Aug 3, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$8.22Aug 3, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.29Aug 2, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$8.41Aug 2, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetro Bank One Day Cup: Derbyshire vs Sussex$4.95Aug 2, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Galle Gallants$99.90Aug 1, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Galle Gallants$84.00Aug 1, 16:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.