Healthy-Retention
0xaf9311412346b1f03419e6ebe6d2e4c5a538c72a
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-100.18
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 3?
428 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 27?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 30?
269 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 27?
267 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 27?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?
87 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 30?
74 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 28?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?
66 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 30?
55 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.25
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.