0xaf9875646588a4bcccf612fc2b8bed282f669d0b
0xaf9875646588a4bcccf612fc2b8bed282f669d0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$107.36
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$22.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$99.47
$-0.53
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
8 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.89
$-0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
1105 shares @ 85.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-941.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
171 shares @ 67.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-115.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
71 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
63 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
51 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
42 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
13 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
0 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$14.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.