Trained-Outhouse
0xaf996153f01ac542516d1153b22d23533adcce6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$37.65
Total PnL
$-40.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.13
$6.13
- YES
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?
12 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$12.12
$4.12
- SPACEX
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
11 shares @ 74.1¢·now 88.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.40
$1.50
- YES
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?
18 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Don Lemon charges dropped?
17 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
17 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.56
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
16 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
13 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$9.56Jan 31, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?$7.90Jan 31, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by March 31?$9.30Jan 31, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?$10.00Jan 31, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?$8.00Jan 31, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$11.00Jan 31, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?$12.00Jan 31, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDon Lemon charges dropped?$10.00Jan 31, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$0.19Jan 31, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMZohran Mamdani Parlay$0.00Jan 31, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$0.00Jan 31, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMElon out of Trump administration before July?$0.00Jan 31, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Dominance Up or Down in May?$0.00Jan 31, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$7.89Jan 31, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?$14.70Jan 31, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$16.53Jan 31, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?$18.12Jan 31, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$20.34Jan 31, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$6.00Nov 4, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$11.21Nov 4, 15:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $10.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".