0xafa4acfff4d1d43cd2b38f10495eaa8268b9f5e2
0xafa4acfff4d1d43cd2b38f10495eaa8268b9f5e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-82.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
82063 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-82.06
- YES
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
38070 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2024$0.00
$-848.73
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?
11612 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-173.62
- NO
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday?
8000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2024$0.00
$-150.70
- YES
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
6401 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2024$0.00
$-381.83
- YES
Will Russia invade Alaska before March?
6082 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 29, 2024$0.00
$-63.82
- YES
Will US attack Iran by February 15?
5000 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2024$0.00
$-177.92
- YES
Finnish Presidential Election: Will Pekka Haavisto win?
3000 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2024$0.00
$-261.82
- YES
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week?
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2024$0.00
$-24.80
- YES
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday?
2500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2024$0.00
$-37.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$0.05Oct 8, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$0.33Oct 8, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$8.05Oct 8, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$4.10Oct 8, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$0.34Oct 8, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$0.11Oct 8, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$0.10Oct 8, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$0.10Oct 8, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$3.46Oct 8, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$3.10Oct 8, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$0.12Oct 8, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$42.92Oct 8, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$5.60Oct 8, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$57.12Oct 8, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?$48.20Oct 8, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$22.06Jul 26, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$20.00Jul 26, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$10.00Jul 26, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$10.00Jul 26, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$10.00Jul 26, 09:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $34.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 05:06 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 8, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".