Hopeful-Bargain
0xafa618cf26eeea6314e10509227ef65f27e2a78b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$77.17
Total PnL
$-34.59
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$19.50
$-15.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 14?
9 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$8.87
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$8.73
$0.18
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.30
$-9.70
- YES
Will Bruno Guimaraes be in Brazil's Starting 11?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.99
$0.17
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.07
$0.03
- NO
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.72
$-0.04
- NO
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.69
$-0.93
- YES
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$3.08
$-1.93
- YES
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$2.35
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 14?$8.91Jun 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.40Jun 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 13?$7.32Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 13?$8.91Jun 13, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 13?$0.99Jun 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14?$7.64Jun 13, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 13?$5.94Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?$6.85Jun 13, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?$6.23Jun 13, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13?$8.91Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?$8.91Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13?$2.45Jun 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13?$6.46Jun 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14?$8.91Jun 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 13?$8.91Jun 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13?$5.29Jun 13, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 13?$8.91Jun 13, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 13?$8.91Jun 13, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 13?$8.91Jun 13, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 14?$7.32Jun 13, 05:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.