Cylindrical-Apartment
0xafc14b021ed1844d8c0e2400380c4d55a83c2293
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$136.9K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$453.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Belgium be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
111471 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$110.0K
$-1.3K
- NO
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
17768 shares @ 99.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.9K
$-791.85
- NO
Will Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8762 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$8.7K
$-74.47
- YES
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
1198 shares @ 12.5¢·now 51.1¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$612.16
$462.41
- YES
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
1198 shares @ 12.5¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$443.84
$294.10
- NO
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 99.8¢·now 86.6¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$104.12
$-16.00
- YES
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
1026 shares @ 12.5¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$94.39
$-33.86
- NO
Will a player representing Belgium be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
44 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$44.41
$-0.02
- YES
Will Belgium win the World Cup?
160 shares @ 12.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.32
$-17.69
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.50Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.07Jul 2, 16:07 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$400.0KJul 2, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$0.00Jul 2, 01:09 UTC
- YIELD$5.01Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$143.2KJul 2, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$0.00Jul 2, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$0.00Jul 2, 00:07 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$13.7KJul 1, 23:43 UTC
- MERGEWill Belgium win the World Cup?$1.0KJul 1, 23:40 UTC
- MERGEWill Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$172.00Jul 1, 23:39 UTC
- CONVERSIONWorld Cup: Belgium Stage of Elimination$1.2KJul 1, 23:39 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$378.3KJul 1, 23:35 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$151.1KJul 1, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMNYA (NYA) Up or Down on July 1?$15.00Jul 1, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5$79.00Jul 1, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$114.72Jul 1, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5$120.55Jul 1, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Half$155.00Jul 1, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5$579.78Jul 1, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$26.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jul 1, 21:40 UTC → Jul 1, 21:37 UTC
- BUYWill Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.8K@100¢Jul 1, 21:37 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$8.8K
1 trades
30d volume
$8.8K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
$17.7K · 67% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $6.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.