0xafc20fbcd2108ca500a8fa0965a2eda689eeb93c
0xafc20fbcd2108ca500a8fa0965a2eda689eeb93c
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-476.33
Win rate
1%
111 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 2?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$5.00
$2.65
- UP
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
53 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.88
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
27 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.14
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
27 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-13.79
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
24 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.88
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
24 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.78
- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
23 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.54
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
22 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.15
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
22 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
19 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.95Jun 7, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.01Jun 7, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.39Jun 6, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.01Jun 6, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$0.94Jun 6, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.01Jun 6, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.43Jun 5, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.54Jun 5, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.62Jun 5, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.67Jun 5, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.54Jun 5, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.57Jun 5, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.01Jun 5, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.01Jun 5, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.02Jun 5, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.00Jun 5, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.01Jun 5, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.96Jun 5, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.97Jun 5, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.03Jun 5, 13:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 111 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
111 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 05:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 111 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.