Extra-Large-Unity
0xafc6752fb4eb926cc99b6610ca032be02c913ee7
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$869.90
Total PnL
$7.55
Realised
$3.38
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$6.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?
100 shares @ 90.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$9.80
- NO
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$100.00
$17.00
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
80 shares @ 84.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$80.00
$12.38
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
70 shares @ 89.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$70.00
$7.30
- NO
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?
60 shares @ 81.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$60.00
$11.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
43 shares @ 92.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$43.00
$3.13
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
30 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$30.00
$1.67
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
30 shares @ 89.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$30.00
$3.23
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
30 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$30.00
$5.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 21, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 00:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.