Thorny-Radiosonde
0xafc8e44fb90dde283d0c6f96ecd8c3fd63be2ca2
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$296.71
Total PnL
$10.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
670 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$278.04
$10.05
- YES
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?
10 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$10.00
$0.39
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.65
$0.15
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.77Jun 10, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$5.50Jun 9, 04:49 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Jun 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?$9.61Jun 8, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.00Jun 8, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$2.00Jun 8, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$1.01Jun 8, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.08Jun 8, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.01Jun 8, 10:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $14.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.