Hopeful-Quadrant
0xafcccc7e051debaf698c6dd729bf1a77c8b1dd1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
137
Open notional
$66.40
Total PnL
$20.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.41
$4.41
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
32 shares @ 62.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$22.74
$2.74
- YES
Will Henry Lebioda win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 23.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.15
$1.10
- YES
Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
4 shares @ 1.0¢·now 29.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.13
$1.09
- YES
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.02
$0.97
- YES
Will Stephan Jaeger win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 15.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.77
$0.72
- YES
Will Steven Fisk win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 15.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.77
$0.72
- YES
Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.77
$0.72
- YES
Will Mark Hubbard win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 15.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.76
$0.71
- YES
Will William Mouw win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
3 shares @ 1.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.66
$0.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 28?$0.05May 26, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 27?$0.05May 26, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on May 28?$0.01May 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 28?$0.05May 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 28?$0.05May 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C or below on May 27?$0.05May 26, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 27?$0.05May 26, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 27?$0.05May 26, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 27?$0.04May 26, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 30?$0.05May 26, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 28?$0.05May 26, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Daniel Oviedo place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.05May 26, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Barreras place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.05May 26, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Carlos Pinzón place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.05May 26, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Gilberto Murillo place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.05May 26, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Bolívar place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.05May 26, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 26?$0.05May 26, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 25 above $335?$0.01May 26, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$240 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?$0.03May 26, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 26?$0.05May 26, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 07:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".