Buoyant-Harald
0xafd0c1796b1204f641051debb09558f4699cf0df
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$8.76
Total PnL
$-10.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 15.8¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.70
$0.32
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.06
$-0.53
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
3705 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
3700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
3691 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-950.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1773 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-886.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.59Apr 2, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.37Apr 2, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$2.02Apr 2, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$2.02Apr 2, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Octane by Don Toliver be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 14?$2.05Apr 2, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$3.03Apr 2, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Octane by Don Toliver be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 14?$2.00Feb 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$2.00Feb 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$2.00Feb 6, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$3.00Feb 6, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.04Feb 6, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.04Feb 6, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.05Feb 6, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 6, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 03:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $351.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.