Rapid-Sticker
0xafdf656cbc3cfbeea717169a847a1dd891e810c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-140.63
Realised
$-59.14
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on March 31?
155 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?
112 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?
91 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.84
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 21?
72 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 15?
60 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 16?
60 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?
57 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 16?
55 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 15?
50 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 23?$3.60Apr 23, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 23?$6.00Apr 23, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 23?$1.27Apr 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 23?$1.40Apr 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 23?$1.19Apr 23, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 23?$1.24Apr 23, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 23?$17.40Apr 23, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 23?$6.00Apr 23, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 23?$1.32Apr 23, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 23?$1.36Apr 23, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 23?$1.24Apr 23, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 23?$1.96Apr 23, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?$0.06Apr 22, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on April 21?$4.00Apr 22, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on April 21?$7.20Apr 22, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on April 21?$4.00Apr 22, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 21?$4.04Apr 22, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 22?$1.36Apr 21, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 22?$2.97Apr 21, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 22?$2.73Apr 21, 21:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 03:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 14:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.