Negative-Governance
0xafe26a2343589aebb243f0b36ec5d0d6e6cd5e55
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$40.29
Total PnL
$-9.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 13?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$20.27
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 13?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
8 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 13?$20.25May 13, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 13?$20.00May 13, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?$107.11May 13, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?$133.13May 13, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?$107.01May 7, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?$133.01May 7, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 17?$9.02May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on April 18?$9.64May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 18?$10.82May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 18?$10.84May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17?$11.01May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on April 18?$18.07May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 18?$21.04May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 18?$22.34May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on April 18?$23.09May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 18?$25.05May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on April 18?$25.05May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on April 17?$26.02May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 18?$28.05May 7, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on April 18?$9.62Apr 17, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $30.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 09:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".