Bitter-Bias
0xafe2d777bf1d2f462933e737b07da2447e1de839
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$-32.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
5512 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?
1865 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1269 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-650.00
- YES
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
1249 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
971 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
742 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-330.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
682 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
589 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
489 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
472 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-65.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$119.26Jan 2, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$155.00Jan 2, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?$175.72Jan 2, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMSunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5$177.28Jan 2, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$177.40Jan 2, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?$141.93Jan 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$35.48Jan 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$37.30Jan 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5$118.28Jan 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5$99.90Jan 1, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5$33.30Jan 1, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score$66.60Jan 1, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$34.10Jan 1, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?$99.10Jan 1, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$32.20Jan 1, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?$51.00Jan 1, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?$50.96Jan 1, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?$32.24Jan 1, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?$106.35Jan 1, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.3KJan 1, 06:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $383.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 21:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".