Baggy-Scissors
0xafe5077c99abe2419f92da0d6422a2448276a9e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$8.83
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
999 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
837 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-29.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
805 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-21.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
800 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
770 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-41.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
653 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
653 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
637 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-22.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
600 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-17.80
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on July 1?
561 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-41.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 6?$10.07Jul 6, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 10?$1.08Jul 6, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?$1.35Jul 6, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9?$2.32Jul 6, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?$2.38Jul 6, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 7?$2.48Jul 6, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $100 in July?$1.20Jul 6, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 5?$1.30Jul 5, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 4?$5.49Jul 5, 04:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.53Jul 5, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.77Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$20.00Jul 4, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.35Jul 4, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.80Jul 4, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$10.00Jul 4, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.67Jul 4, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.10Jul 4, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Jul 4, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$20.00Jul 4, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.80Jul 4, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 20:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 12:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.