Curvy-Oar
0xafeaf380db210393d9b7998249f8a1ddd20c26cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$3.67
Total PnL
$-139.14
Realised
$1.39
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.32
$-2.68
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?
1104 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 7?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.97Jan 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 28?$0.02Jan 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$2.14Jan 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$2.44Jan 25, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 24, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 24, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$2.98Jan 24, 02:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 04:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 23:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.