Complicated-Wording
0xaff32e611b937ed20f47706d35a2c06f57729ba6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-236.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 30?
152 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on March 26?
144 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?
115 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 19-25?
113 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?
107 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 12?
99 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5PM ET
97 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- NO
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
93 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-90.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 26?
84 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS
San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
74 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$4.28May 30, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?$211.67May 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?$210.40May 29, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 14?$23.61May 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$1.49May 18, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMTom Lee mindshare all time high by March 31?$50.13May 17, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 12?$1.23May 12, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?$145.00May 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?$143.26May 10, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 20?$141.36May 10, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on April 27?$3.64Apr 27, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 30?$0.00Apr 27, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 20?$0.36Apr 20, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 20?$2.16Apr 20, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 20?$139.59Apr 19, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 17?$152.06Apr 18, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 17?$0.39Apr 16, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 17?$149.85Apr 16, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 28?$168.67Apr 10, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?$0.00Apr 1, 03:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $47.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 20:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.