Palatable-Mantle
0xaff6b23b71d91b43d9d233521548e9c3088c9982
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$9.07
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
1383 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.4K
$4.15
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
281 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$280.84
$0.84
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
227 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$227.18
$3.18
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 92.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.59
$0.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?$280.03Jun 21, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$303.02Jun 21, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.7KJun 4, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMConnecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire$1.10Jun 4, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm$1.11Jun 4, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.09Jun 4, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.62Jun 4, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$441.32Jun 4, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.2KJun 4, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm$1.00May 28, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire$1.00May 28, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.2KMay 28, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$1.04May 28, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$1.10May 28, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.05May 28, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$1.2KMay 24, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$1.00May 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$224.13May 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$179.78May 16, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 16, 04:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $474.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.