Costly-Beastie
0xaffaf95084700c0f717b4778d73099750a8d4fb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
155
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-644.48
Realised
$7.70
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 155- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
1574 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-18.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
1212 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
1037 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
649 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
493 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
268 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
125 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
124 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.13May 15, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$7.12May 15, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$8.33May 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$5.14May 10, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$11.20Apr 19, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.61Apr 18, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$7.61Apr 18, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$10.00Apr 18, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.00Apr 18, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Apr 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$10.00Apr 16, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$3.73Apr 16, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$11.27Apr 16, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$25.54Apr 16, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$20.00Apr 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$10.00Apr 16, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$6.92Apr 16, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$4.00Apr 16, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$5.00Apr 16, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 01:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 11:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".