Old-Fashioned-Throne
0xaffd7856866d16dd0eceb8b2b69f45c6e0a6c8bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-890.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Costa Rica win on 2025-11-18?
208 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-120.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET
204 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-13.83
- YES
Will Costa Rica win on 2025-11-13?
200 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-100.76
- YES
Will Nicaragua win on 2025-10-13?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will El Salvador win on 2025-10-14?
101 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 21?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Costa Rica vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Suriname win on 2025-10-14?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12PM ET
93 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10AM ET
88 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Costa Rica win on 2025-11-18?$120.87Nov 18, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$20.00Nov 18, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12PM ET$5.00Nov 16, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.00Nov 16, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$30.18Nov 14, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$15.00Nov 14, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Panama win on 2025-11-13?$135.69Nov 14, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2025-11-13?$15.12Nov 13, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costa Rica win on 2025-11-13?$30.00Nov 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2025-11-13?$45.00Nov 13, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Nov 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$9.00Nov 13, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$6.36Nov 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$4.08Nov 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicaragua win on 2025-11-13?$11.93Nov 13, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicaragua win on 2025-11-13?$14.00Nov 13, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costa Rica win on 2025-11-13?$70.76Nov 12, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$9.97Nov 12, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$38.00Nov 12, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$5.55Nov 12, 00:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".