Large-Horde
0xb0073efb6113cdba1935daaec28fb37feb50a1ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.99
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
8889 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
3878 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
3113 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-22?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.19Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.01Jun 15, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.00Jun 7, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$5.00Jun 7, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$6.30Jun 7, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$5.00May 23, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$2.50May 14, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$3.15May 6, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.14May 6, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.95May 6, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$5.84May 6, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2.45Apr 24, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$5.20Feb 27, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-22?$1.20Nov 19, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02?$5.00Nov 19, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$897.80Oct 30, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.3KOct 30, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$7.7KOct 30, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02?$2.00Oct 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$650.70Oct 30, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $717.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.