Knowledgeable-Sadness
0xb00d6437c64003c72a6dd2629709b999720575a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-565.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- FC METALOGLOBUS BUCUREȘTI
Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-1.5)
831 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.14
- VILLARREAL CF
Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)
804 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-48.24
- DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)
743 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-24.52
- ZED FC
Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)
720 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-29.52
- CERAMICA CLEOPATRA CLUB
Spread: Ceramica Cleopatra Club (-1.5)
703 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-30.23
- URAWA RED DIAMONDS
Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)
695 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.60
- AVULUS
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
580 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-185.60
- QUENTIN HALYS
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halys
243 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-223.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$322.16Jul 2, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$322.16Jul 2, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: SS Juve Stabia (-1.5)$427.00May 19, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: SS Juve Stabia (-1.5)$404.60May 19, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $406.19May 19, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $401.10May 19, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Kahrabaa Ismailia FC (-2.5)$401.01May 18, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kahrabaa Ismailia FC (-2.5)$369.81May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$369.33May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$367.77May 18, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)$368.00May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)$342.96May 17, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$38.88May 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$303.26May 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$342.14May 17, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: SV Werder Bremen (-2.5)$343.00May 17, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: SV Werder Bremen (-2.5)$328.01May 16, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$326.96May 16, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$328.30May 16, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)$329.00May 16, 04:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $164.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 04:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.