Curvy-Size
0xb00eac40de78986471faecb2ca2f0f5fdac1e2d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.36
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
10 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
2694 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?
1367 shares @ 73.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?
909 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2025-12-26?$600.00Dec 26, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?$650.00Dec 26, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?$617.50Dec 20, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.16Dec 20, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$28.99Dec 20, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win on 2025-11-16?$1000.00Nov 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$500.00Nov 7, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in October?$100.10Nov 4, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$2.0KNov 4, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMOver 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?$15.14Nov 1, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.90Oct 29, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$10.00Oct 29, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Oct 29, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?$15.00Oct 29, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6000 in October?$100.00Oct 29, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$2.0KOct 29, 22:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $486.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 22:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 18:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.