0xb015bea9b60a5f5a6eab12cb43f55ac72314b5ea
0xb015bea9b60a5f5a6eab12cb43f55ac72314b5ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-73.65
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
50874 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-112.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
20000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
10659 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
3322 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
2019 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
1042 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-17.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
720 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
515 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-22.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$5.43Jul 21, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.00Jul 21, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$6.50Jul 21, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$10.96Jul 21, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$54.97Jul 21, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$38.92Jul 21, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$100.96Jul 21, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$53.92Jul 21, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$22.96Jul 21, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$7.20Jul 21, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.13Jul 21, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.18Jul 21, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.24Jul 21, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$6.58Jul 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$26.02Jul 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$3.98Jul 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$54.96Jul 21, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$21.75Jul 21, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$21.47Jul 21, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$21.46Jul 21, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $40.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 19:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.