Earnest-Myth
0xb01779830515836e7e6754a8d709b5bd100d45f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 games played during the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.23Jun 8, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$150.33Jun 2, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Thank" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.00Apr 23, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Thank" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$22.55Apr 18, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "TrumpRX" or "TrumpRX Dot Gov" in April?$22.56Apr 18, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$102.76Apr 15, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?$0.00Apr 14, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMChatGPT Outage by April 10?$34.79Apr 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TrumpRX" or "TrumpRX Dot Gov" in April?$14.00Apr 9, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?$28.00Apr 9, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$16.19Apr 9, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChatGPT Outage by April 10?$28.00Apr 9, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$14.00Apr 9, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?$35.39Apr 9, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during events with Rutte?$45.62Apr 9, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$38.81Apr 8, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Apr 8, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Apr 8, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$4.30Apr 7, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.50Apr 7, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $24.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 09:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.