Constant-Import
0xb027ba6f2d6fc3fb51b507dc178029468dfd8d15
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.42
Total PnL
$-203.60
Realised
$-0.66
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$5.51
$0.00
- NO
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.75
$0.00
- NO
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.16
$0.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
452 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-202.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.21Jun 4, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$25.46May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$25.02May 23, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$1.22May 23, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.27May 23, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.63May 23, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.87May 23, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.63Apr 25, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$98.80Apr 15, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$142.14Apr 15, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$209.37Apr 15, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$100.00Apr 9, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$144.00Apr 9, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$215.00Apr 9, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$175.99Apr 9, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$157.68Apr 9, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$133.60Apr 9, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$176.00Apr 8, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$135.00Apr 8, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$159.00Apr 8, 02:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $208.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.