Fickle-Cart
0xb0348024bad51a0d6606e435d3292d63436140db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-70.19
Realised
$-1.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+
65 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.04
- HAWKS
Heat vs. Hawks
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
12 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.28
- UDINESE CALCIO
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump be Speaker by October 1?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?
10 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks$6.19Apr 20, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid: Sergi Perez Contri vs Arthur Gea$5.00Apr 6, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMPanthers vs. Rangers$6.78Apr 6, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Rangers$4.00Mar 29, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Magic$5.93Mar 29, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Magic$3.50Mar 21, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-03-14?$2.82Mar 21, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$2.00Mar 14, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-03-14?$2.00Mar 14, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$4.71Mar 14, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$3.20Mar 2, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Hawks$16.95Feb 24, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Hawks$10.00Feb 20, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMQatar Total Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Yulia Starodubtseva$9.33Feb 20, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar Total Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Yulia Starodubtseva$5.60Feb 6, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Bucks$5.00Feb 3, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMPredators vs. Bruins$9.80Feb 3, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredators vs. Bruins$5.00Jan 27, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Timberwolves$5.60Jan 25, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Magic$5.00Jan 22, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.