Itchy-Extreme
0xb0387882d11af5f3b80f1bf7a60754101591074b
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$157.10
Total PnL
$-16.91
Realised
$-4.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 29?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$6.18
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 30?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$6.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 29?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$6.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 31?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 30?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$6.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 29?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.00
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 29?
4 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.54
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 29?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.54
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 29?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.54
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 29?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.54
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 31?$1.33Jul 29, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 31?$3.51Jul 29, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on July 31?$3.00Jul 29, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 28?$3.03Jul 29, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 28?$3.06Jul 29, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on July 28?$3.03Jul 29, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 31?$6.00Jul 29, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on July 30?$3.00Jul 29, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 31?$3.51Jul 29, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 30?$3.51Jul 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 31?$3.51Jul 29, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on July 31?$3.00Jul 29, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 31?$3.00Jul 29, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on July 30?$3.50Jul 29, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 28?$3.54Jul 29, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on July 28?$3.03Jul 29, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 28?$0.69Jul 29, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on July 30?$3.00Jul 29, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 30?$3.00Jul 29, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 30?$3.00Jul 29, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.