Amusing-Inbox
0xb03b4dcb1542b120e23083b6d108cb5cebe19865
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$60.11
Total PnL
$-366.96
Realised
$9.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
39 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$38.96
$8.96
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
400 shares @ 24.3¢·now 2.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.80
$-86.20
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
600 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.80
$-70.20
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.55
$-18.45
- NO
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
300 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.77
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?
190 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
AOC charged before July?
158 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?$30.00Mar 3, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold hit $3,600 before June?$30.00Nov 22, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$21.00Nov 9, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$21.00Nov 9, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$25.00Nov 9, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$78.00Nov 9, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$72.00Nov 9, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$32.00Aug 1, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.64Jul 16, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?$4.67Jul 16, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?$10.63Jul 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.06Jul 16, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLAOC charged before July? $13.20May 5, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?$2.36Apr 27, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?$0.00Apr 26, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?$18.00Apr 26, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?$0.00Apr 26, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?$4.80Apr 26, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?$0.80Apr 26, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?$0.24Apr 26, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $21.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".