Downright-Young
0xb03e407d592e1bf8075e19b630def46eaa2a92a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump issue 34-36 executive orders in his first week?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
iPhone SE 4 under $500?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Oct 26, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves Merck’s clesrovimab infant RSV prevention (MK‑1654)?$1.12Oct 26, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Merck’s clesrovimab infant RSV prevention (MK‑1654)?$1.00Jun 8, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump negative approval before May?$1.07Feb 15, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?$0.99Feb 15, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump issue an executive order on February 12?$1.05Feb 15, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump issue an executive order on February 13?$1.08Feb 15, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$1.00Feb 15, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?$1.00Feb 12, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYiPhone SE 4 under $500?$1.00Feb 12, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump negative approval before May?$1.00Feb 12, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue an executive order on February 12?$1.00Feb 12, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue an executive order on February 13?$1.00Feb 12, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?$1.03Feb 2, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Jan 27, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?$1.00Jan 27, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 27, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump issue 34-36 executive orders in his first week?$1.01Jan 27, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 26, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".