Terrific-Sight
0xb03e652b6865b96e1aaab4d675f9bf530124f549
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-354.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?
2861 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?
2491 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
1940 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-39.62
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?
1498 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
1380 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
1362 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-102.10
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
1224 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?
777 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$39.62Apr 29, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$7.42Apr 29, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$5.77Apr 29, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$26.43Apr 29, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$102.10Apr 27, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$25.00Apr 27, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?$50.00Apr 27, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?$50.00Apr 27, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?$50.00Apr 27, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?$50.00Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$150.00Apr 27, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$100.00Apr 27, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?$100.00Apr 27, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$99.84Apr 25, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?$200.00Apr 25, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$100.08Apr 24, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$281.17Apr 23, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $84.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.