Wallet digest

active

Activity score

59/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-22.15

Realised

$11.74

Win rate

71%

7 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 41

YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
96 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-1.45
DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
96 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-1.45
YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
70 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
47 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-0.84
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-0.93
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 12PM ET
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.04Jun 7, 23:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5AM ET$1.00Apr 19, 09:40 UTC
REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00Apr 19, 09:13 UTC
TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.25Apr 19, 09:09 UTC
REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00Apr 19, 09:08 UTC
TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.24Apr 19, 09:03 UTC
TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.01Apr 19, 09:03 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.23Apr 19, 02:49 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.02Apr 19, 02:48 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.25Apr 19, 02:42 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.25Apr 19, 02:38 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.23Apr 19, 02:29 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.02Apr 19, 02:29 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.25Apr 19, 02:23 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.25Apr 19, 02:18 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.25Apr 19, 02:09 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.23Apr 19, 02:03 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.02Apr 19, 02:03 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.15Apr 19, 01:58 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.10Apr 19, 01:58 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity61 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence23 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry7 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk41 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $0.30
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 19, 00:55 UTC
Last active: Jun 7, 23:40 UTC
Win rate sample: 7 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 10:26:51 UTC·src:Polymarket Data