Wallet digest

active

Activity score

67/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$55.00

Total PnL

$-18.85

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 30

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$5.00
$2.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$5.00
$2.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$5.00
$2.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$5.00
$2.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$5.00
$2.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$5.00
$2.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025
$5.00
$2.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025
$5.00
$3.20
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$5.00
$2.55
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$5.00
$2.50

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$5.00Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.00Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.00Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$5.00Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$5.00Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.00Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.89Dec 31, 15:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.61Dec 31, 15:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$2.40Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$2.50Dec 31, 12:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.50Dec 31, 11:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.50Dec 31, 10:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.45Dec 31, 08:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.50Dec 31, 07:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.50Dec 31, 04:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$2.50Dec 31, 01:45 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk46 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $2.34
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 27, 21:48 UTC
Last active: Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:27:03 UTC·src:Polymarket Data