0xb046836a8d2cc31c0ddd57e576e6482376bbd64e
0xb046836a8d2cc31c0ddd57e576e6482376bbd64e
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$13.70
Total PnL
$0.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 59.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.47
$6.47
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $90 on January 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
14 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $90 on January 10?$1.00Jan 10, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$1.00Jan 10, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?$1.00Jan 10, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 10, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jan 10, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Jan 10, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Jan 10, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 10, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 10, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".