Warmhearted-Cesspool
0xb04e8a9b5fc825ce7a71eca26e8b8bccdb77c9d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$30.42
Total PnL
$-39.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
123 shares @ 8.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.95
$2.95
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?
252 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.81
$-2.19
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by May 31?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.11
$-4.89
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by May 31, 2026?
144 shares @ 6.9¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.55
$-5.45
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?
167 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$227.27May 9, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?$10.00May 2, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$10.00May 2, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 2, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by May 31?$10.00May 2, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$576.58May 2, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$546.44Apr 17, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$546.43Apr 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$383.87Apr 6, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$0.00Apr 1, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$0.00Apr 1, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$0.00Apr 1, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 1-2?$0.00Apr 1, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 6-9?$0.00Apr 1, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Yemen on September 27 ET?$0.00Apr 1, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.00Apr 1, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$0.00Apr 1, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $216.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 01:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".