0xb05d1f0d17e3321829560dfacc04488f8659dcdc
0xb05d1f0d17e3321829560dfacc04488f8659dcdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$26.25
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$250.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
8750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$26.25
$-8.75
- YES
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5799 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
4510 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
3126 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-46.46
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1361 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- YES
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
1247 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-97.28
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
1056 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-433.00
- YES
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?
1007 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$4.45Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$2.4KJul 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$38.14Jul 13, 23:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$40.48Jul 9, 21:09 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.76Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$49.70Jul 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$106.82Jul 7, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$254.08Jul 7, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$55.46Jul 7, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$328.44Jul 7, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$106.76Jul 7, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$457.98Jul 3, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$106.63Jul 1, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$103.86Jul 1, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$666.92Jun 29, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$202.50Jun 24, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$660.86Jun 24, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.1KJun 24, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.1KJun 24, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$106.76Jun 24, 03:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $402.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 22:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.