Reliable-Cuticle
0xb05dd86107a3809d6d148fe1f68da0351e40bc1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$2.17
Total PnL
$-932.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?
110000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?
80000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
2702 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
1539 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-123.15
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
588 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?
539 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
535 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
496 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-24.61
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$0.00Mar 12, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$5.10Mar 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$2.00Mar 12, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Mar 12, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8.00Mar 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$40.00Mar 9, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$35.65Mar 9, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4PM ET$12.52Mar 8, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4PM ET$2.52Mar 7, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.00Mar 4, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$20.00Mar 4, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$10.00Mar 4, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?$15.00Mar 4, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$20.00Mar 4, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.00Mar 4, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$12.32Mar 2, 01:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".