Simplistic-Crisp
0xb062d3e8e8b4775362d8927923a17c55d0f9c654
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$50.64
Total PnL
$-195.19
Realised
$-2.61
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.28
$0.29
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.33
$0.33
- NO
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.63
$0.28
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.58
$0.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
258 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?
156 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$5.00Jul 14, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?$10.15Jul 14, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?$10.71Jul 14, 15:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.