Raw-Innocent
0xb06940423f381e5d494f21ddd91b5d20ce90a108
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$658.14
Total PnL
$-1.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
448 shares @ 27.6¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$185.84
$62.45
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.00
$15.00
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
570 shares @ 18.4¢·now 31.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$180.38
$75.36
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
110 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$110.00
$8.80
- YES
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.91
$-4.13
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
888 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
235 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-93.60
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
30 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.13Feb 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$10.40Feb 20, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2.50Feb 20, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$10.00Feb 20, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$9.48Feb 20, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$7.00Feb 20, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on February 20?$1.92Feb 20, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$8.50Feb 20, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$2.38Feb 20, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$4.62Feb 20, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 20?$1.15Feb 20, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 20?$0.72Feb 20, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$26.00Feb 20, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$166.00Feb 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$201.22Feb 17, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$13.68Feb 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$37.74Feb 15, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.02Feb 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.02Feb 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.02Feb 15, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $32.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 08:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.