Flamboyant-Rivulet
0xb0745bcd9f40853c13504c0ef69d86d039910ea7
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-248.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
297 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
228 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.88
- NO
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Mark Carney talk to Trump by Friday?
110 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $3.88Jun 24, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$125.00Jun 24, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?$53.02Jun 24, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?$73.04Jun 24, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?$20.00Apr 29, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?$20.00Apr 29, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney talk to Trump by Friday?$20.00Apr 29, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?$100.00Apr 29, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $51.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.