0xb0774ddb6b11b4bd402598c007bdf7d4609874d3
0xb0774ddb6b11b4bd402598c007bdf7d4609874d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.0K
Realised
$-6.0K
Win rate
32%
162 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 2?
75070 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-11.2K
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 2?
46679 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?
29570 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 3?
25293 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-733.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 2?
15906 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 5?
11134 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 5?
9976 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-570.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 2?
8010 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-290.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 2?
6161 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-282.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 2?
3741 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-114.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?$122.03Aug 23, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 22?$120.55Aug 23, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 22?$13.97Aug 22, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 22?$13.73Aug 22, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 22?$13.49Aug 22, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 22?$13.27Aug 22, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 21?$90.93Aug 22, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 22?$2.71Aug 22, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 22?$3.25Aug 22, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 22?$3.34Aug 22, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 22?$4.66Aug 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 22?$13.89Aug 22, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?$5.11Aug 22, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 22?$14.13Aug 22, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 22?$15.22Aug 22, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 22?$14.80Aug 22, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 22?$13.36Aug 22, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 22?$13.79Aug 22, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 22?$13.46Aug 22, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 22?$13.14Aug 22, 08:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
32% win rate over 162 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
162 closed markets, 32% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $11.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 162 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.